Premier League: What could happen on the last day? Analysis of Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal, Tottenham, Burnley and Leeds

22 May 2022 | 08:40

For the first time in Premier League history, the title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation are all available on the final day of the season. Incredibly, eight out of ten matches had something riding on them.

The part has never been wired quite like this before, and even after Everton’s heroic comeback against Crystal Palace on Thursday night their survival was almost too much to watch on Sunday.

Here’s a look at the tactical battles that will determine the key matches.

There’s still a chance for Liverpool in the title race

Wolves are on a six-game winless streak, scoring just four goals in that time; This is a team very lacking in creative drive, struggling to adapt to Adama Traore’s life without the pace and looking increasingly pensive under Bruno Lage. It’s a completely different proposition for Liverpool than 1-0 win in reverse match.

Manchester City recent 5-1 win over Wolves provides a better indication of how this match will play out. Pep Guardiola’s side easily dominated the first two half thanks to Wolves’ use of a lackluster two-man midfield, with the full-backs forced to drop deep to create a 5-2-2-1 formation. Man City all the space they need to build. and create opportunities in exactly the areas where Luis Diaz and Mohamed Salah will operate.

Then, Liverpool will do their job, and Man City may not. Aston Villa’s defensive form has become difficult in a short time and there is a very good chance Guardiola’s side will calmly maneuver them with their familiar rhythms; Error-prone Tyrone Mings leads a backline that prefers to play from behind and fouls in doing so, allowing City to close in and crush them.

However, the injuries in the Man City defense bring hope to Villa. Danny Ings and Ollie Watkins will work together to break through behind high defences, while a narrow diamond-shaped midfield can block City’s traditional creative lines. If Villa can keep a solid hold and drop deep, the home side could be stressed as their football slows down.

Spurs make it easy against Norwich City

Everton’s survival means they won’t feel any pressure at the Emirates, which perhaps makes Arsenal’s job even more difficult. During Frank Lampard’s time at Everton, he excelled when forced to sit very deep and play on the counter-attack, such as in wins over Chelsea and Manchester United. Arsenal will not like this approach.

Newcastle United found it very easy to counter-attack against an Arsenal team that lacked Thoma Partey’s ability to prevent the break in the first place, because with Mohamed Elneny at the base, Arsenal were too underpowered to play broadly. move in front of a fast team on the counter. . Demarai Gray, key to the win over Palace, can dribble across lines like Allan Saint-Maximin did.

But even a win for Arsenal will almost certainly not make a difference in the race for the top four. Norwich City have been in complete freefall for a very long time, and in fact not. Is there anywhere good enough to play at this level. They have won five games all season, and have picked up just two points out of 19 against top 10 teams… and that’s two 0-0 draws against 10th place Brighton.

Dean Smith continues to play in an overly broad system, perhaps deciding not to adopt a more defensive philosophy in case it upsets their pattern ahead of next season’s Championship campaign. Their 4-1-4-1 is extremely disconnected, with a large amount of space appearing in a stretched system that neither squeezes nor drops; Harry Kane and Heung-Min Son will have plenty of opportunities to make Antonio Conte’s choreographed attacking transitions.

Brentford scored to beat Leeds

Brentford likes to play against teams like Leeds United, who may have calmed down somewhat since Marcelo Bielsa but continue to look very vulnerable to counter-attacks, that’s how close one is. fierce people that we often see from the top of the field. Thus, Brentford’s immediacy fits the game well; Longer forward balls for Ivan Toney will fall in areas where there are disproportionately few Leeds bodies.

Assuming that Brentford can get past their opponents, which Thomas Frank’s form guide and tactical intelligence suggest they will, the match will likely be decided from the resulting positions. . Brentford is third in scoring with 15, while Leeds have conceded 18, the second most in the league. Christian Eriksen’s deliveries were enough to knock Leeds down.

Under Mike Jackson, Burnley is playing more short passes and trying to make significantly fewer long balls and crosses. The idea was to get the ball down and play attacking from behind, but after some initial success, this tactic started to look unsuitable for the Burnley team. Newcastle United will be delighted when Burnley comes to see them, and with Saint-Maximin lurking at the break, the match will likely be settled by his battle with Dwight McNeil – returning to the form that has been transformed by Jackson. right.

McNeil’s commitment, coupled with more aggressive play from Burnley’s full-backs under Jackson, gave Saint-Maximin and Newcastle the advantage. Failure for both relegation candidates is a clear possibility.

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